Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#130
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#153
Pace70.0#144
Improvement+2.0#100

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#174
First Shot+1.3#135
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#255
Layup/Dunks+3.2#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#266
Freethrows+1.1#97
Improvement-1.3#245

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#104
First Shot+0.9#135
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#51
Layups/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#132
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement+3.2#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 419 - 221 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 261   Southern W 69-49 85%     1 - 0 +11.1 -9.8 +20.1
  Nov 12, 2019 61   @ Tennessee L 63-82 20%     1 - 1 -7.7 +0.4 -9.2
  Nov 19, 2019 173   Southern Illinois W 79-66 71%     2 - 1 +9.7 +10.9 -0.7
  Nov 25, 2019 180   La Salle L 64-75 62%     2 - 2 -11.7 -6.7 -5.1
  Nov 26, 2019 275   Weber St. W 69-68 80%     3 - 2 -5.4 -3.6 -1.7
  Nov 27, 2019 166   Drake L 53-63 58%     3 - 3 -9.6 -17.7 +7.8
  Dec 03, 2019 119   @ Missouri St. L 69-71 35%     3 - 4 +4.4 -1.9 +6.4
  Dec 07, 2019 281   Middle Tennessee W 85-52 87%     4 - 4 +23.2 +4.7 +17.6
  Dec 16, 2019 351   Kennesaw St. W 74-38 98%     5 - 4 +13.9 -7.1 +20.8
  Dec 21, 2019 279   @ Evansville L 76-78 OT 72%     5 - 5 -5.6 -4.0 -1.4
  Jan 02, 2020 333   Tennessee Martin W 89-76 94%     6 - 5 1 - 0 -1.8 -6.4 +3.5
  Jan 04, 2020 340   Southeast Missouri St. W 81-59 94%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +6.5 +13.4 -3.1
  Jan 09, 2020 277   @ Jacksonville St. W 72-68 72%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +0.5 -5.2 +5.5
  Jan 11, 2020 325   @ Tennessee Tech W 81-69 83%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +4.1 +8.6 -4.0
  Jan 16, 2020 333   @ Tennessee Martin W 84-62 85%     10 - 5 5 - 0 +13.2 -2.2 +15.1
  Jan 18, 2020 340   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 96-91 OT 86%     11 - 5 6 - 0 -4.4 +8.6 -13.5
  Jan 23, 2020 108   Belmont W 85-75 54%     12 - 5 7 - 0 +11.4 +10.2 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2020 262   Tennessee St. W 76-64 85%     13 - 5 8 - 0 +3.1 +0.4 +2.8
  Jan 30, 2020 238   Eastern Illinois W 73-70 82%     14 - 5 9 - 0 -4.3 +3.2 -7.2
  Feb 01, 2020 330   SIU Edwardsville W 74-55 93%     15 - 5 10 - 0 +4.5 -2.2 +7.5
  Feb 06, 2020 108   @ Belmont L 64-71 31%     15 - 6 10 - 1 +0.5 -9.1 +9.9
  Feb 08, 2020 262   @ Tennessee St. W 73-65 70%     16 - 6 11 - 1 +5.1 -2.3 +7.2
  Feb 13, 2020 172   @ Austin Peay L 68-71 48%     16 - 7 11 - 2 -0.1 -7.3 +7.2
  Feb 15, 2020 316   Morehead St. W 85-57 91%     17 - 7 12 - 2 +15.8 +7.4 +8.7
  Feb 20, 2020 238   @ Eastern Illinois L 60-63 64%     17 - 8 12 - 3 -4.2 -11.9 +7.6
  Feb 22, 2020 330   @ SIU Edwardsville W 59-58 85%     18 - 8 13 - 3 -7.5 -14.0 +6.6
  Feb 27, 2020 273   Eastern Kentucky W 74-62 86%     19 - 8 14 - 3 +2.7 -10.7 +12.1
  Feb 29, 2020 172   Austin Peay W 75-61 70%     20 - 8 15 - 3 +10.9 -0.4 +11.6
  Mar 06, 2020 172   Austin Peay W 73-61 60%     21 - 8 +11.9 +2.3 +10.4
  Mar 07, 2020 108   Belmont L 75-76 42%     21 - 9 +3.4 +3.4 +0.0
Projected Record 21 - 9 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%